So here is the up-to-date WCB IT20
Standings as the teams go into the WWT20 starting on 18
th March,
including all games played up to 9
th March.
No I didn’t believe it either, but New
Zealand really are top of the table AND they really are that many points ahead
of England and Australia. I have checked lots of times. There are actually numerous reasons why they are top of the
tree – Australia and England have not been too flash at T20 cricket of late
(Australia have lost their last three T20 series and lost six of their last
nine games); New Zealand have won eight of their last eleven games, including
wins over England and Australia; and for some reason New Zealand played only 11
T20s between 1 March 2012 and 1 March 2014, which means they have only played
32 T20 games in the last four years compared with England’s 46 and Australia’s
44, so their recent form has a much greater impact on their current standing.
So does that make them favourites for the
WWT20? Well the realistic answer is that they have as good a chance as
Australia and England, the perennial favourites for these competitions, but also
probably just as much chance as India, West Indies or South Africa. This really
is the hardest WWT20 to call that there has ever been. Below I have previewed
the teams’ chances, based on form, but there is one imponderable which I think
might affect the tournament and who goes on to win it, and that is injury.
For many of the top players the last few months have been jam-packed with cricket, as teams squeeze in ICCWC ODI fixtures, plus the almost obligatory three T20s. The Aussies have played an Ashes series against England, followed by a home series against India and no sooner were they back from New Zealand than they were on the plane to India. In between the entire squad has been involved in the WBBL, as have several of the England, New Zealand, West Indian and South African players. South Africa themselves have finished their latest series (against West Indies) today, which followed swiftly behind England's tour there too. Don't get me wrong I have no problem with plenty of cricket, but it does take it's toll. There will be many players carrying injuries into the tournament or having just recovered from injuries. I expect there may well be more during the tournament and if you lose a key player, then your fortunes can change rapidly. But aside from that caveat it looks like being a great tournament.
Group
A
Australia, South Africa, New Zealand, Sri Lanka, Ireland
Australia
expect to win. In fact most of the cricketing world
expect Australia to win, but I just have this nagging doubt about this side and
about the balance of their team. They did not perform that well against England
last summer, then lost 2-1 to India at home and then by the same score to New
Zealand away just a few days ago. They are struggling to nail down a decent
opening partnership, they are relying far too much on Lanning and Perry to get
runs and their bowling looks light. It has been a long haul for the Aussie
girls since the English summer, including a full-on WBBL and I think this may be a tournament too far.
Antipodean
rivals New Zealand will be looking to steal the Aussies’ crown. After a couple of lacklustre years,
including the failure to make the semi-finals of the last WWT20, New Zealand,
under charismatic coach Haidee Tiffen, are once again punching above their
weight on the international scene. They
seem to have a bit more self-belief now and if skipper Suzie Bates can keep her
recent form going they will be tough to beat. But they do have bad days. And
when they are bad they are very very bad. Can they string together the five or six
wins on the trot that they need? They just might.
South Africa surprised everyone,
including themselves, by making the semi-final of the 2014 WWT20. It was a
great achievement and the fact that they froze in the semi-final against
England was no surprise. Their recent series against England and the West
Indies in South Africa shows that that cup run was no flash in the pan. Within
their squad they have match-winners in van Niekerk, Lee, du Preez, Kapp and
Luus, but their squad is thin. I expect them to win some big games, but
possibly lose some they should win. If you want an outside bet though...
Sri
Lanka and Ireland will not make it to the
semi-finals, but Ireland could well win their first WWT20 match when the two
sides meet. Sri Lanka are in a horrible slump of form at the moment. They have
lost their last eight T20 games and in truth have never looked like winning any
of them. Ireland won the WWT20 Qualifying Tournament in December, just pipping
Bangladesh (their fellow qualifiers) in the final. They have great spirit in
their team and it may be enough to get them a very precious two points.
Group
B
England, West Indies, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh
Playing at home and coming off the back of
a T20 series win against the Aussies in Australia, plus a drubbing of a rather
forlorn Sri Lanka, India are on a high.
Things could go one of two ways it seems for them – they could either live up
to their own, and the whole of India’s expectations and win the thing, or they
could crash and burn. They should get off to a good start as they play
Bangladesh on the opening day of the tournament, but their clashes with England
(22nd March) and the West Indies (27th March), will
decide if they make it through to the semi-finals. If they can make it there
then their young stars – Smriti Mandhana, Shika Pandey, Anuja Patil and Veda Krishnamurthy,amongst others, may prove fearless enough
to get them into the final, although it may have to be at the expense of
tournament favourites Australia, which may be a big ask.
England
lack consistency over the last couple of years.
This tournament has come too early for new Head Coach Mark Robinson to have had
any great influence over the outcome for his new team, but a new positive
attitude with the bat looks certain. The South Africa tour proved that
sometimes it comes off and sometimes it does not. There is no doubt that
England have players capable of winning T20 games – Taylor, Knight, Jones,
Shrubsole, Brunt – but the question is can they? England look a bit light in
the spin-bowling department, with Knight now Charlotte Edwards go-to spin bowler
it seems. If England make it out of the group then they are in with a shout.
The
West Indies have a remarkably poor record in T20s
over the last couple of years. They have only won seven out of the 25 they have
played in that time. They have also managed to tie three of those games, which
is quite a feat. They have class in Stafanie Taylor, and Deandra Dottin seems
to be coming back into some sort of form after a couple of years in the
wilderness following her ban, but these two need some back-up. They are a team capable of winning, but they lack
a cutting edge.
Pakistan
have had a torrid run into the tournament due to
security issues in India. At the time of writing they have still
yet to get to India, and it has been confirmed they will miss their first warm-up
game with New Zealand scheduled for Thursday, and maybe even the warm-up
against South Africa on Saturday. Their current T20 form is not that bad and
they are a potential banana skin for the big three, but with little or no
practice before the tournament they are clearly at a huge disadvantage.
Bangladesh have only beaten Ireland and
Sri Lanka in their last 13 games, and lost narrowly to Ireland in the WWT20
Qualifier final. They should not trouble the big boys, but will be keen to get
one over on Pakistan if they can.
So the warm-up games start tomorrow and the tournament itself kicks off on next Tuesday (15th March). Some of the group games are being televised as will be the semi-finals and the final. If the tournament can step out of the huge shadow of the men's tournament into the media spotlight, then it should be a great event.
MD
9/III/16